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Azor Mortgages Public Limited Company

Data and documents available for this issue

Issue and Tranche data 
Prospectus in PDF format 
Prospectus in HTML format 
Market Commentary 
Issuer Reports 
Trader Contributed Prices 

Market Commentary

17 November 2004

17NOV2004               --- AZOR MORTGAGES PLC ---
CLASS A: E253M, AAA/Aaa/AAA,   WAL 5.8YRS, 3ME+15BPS
CLASS B: E19M,  A+/Aa2/A,      WAL 7YRS,   3ME+38BPS
CLASS C: E9M,   BBB+/Baa1/BBB, WAL 7YRS,   3ME+75BPS
CLASS D: E5.62M (2PC), UNRATED, RETAINED
COMMON TERMS - FRNS, IP 100, LFM 2047, CALL/STEP-UP SEP-2011, PAY 25-NOV
LEAD MANAGERS CITIGROUP (BOOKS), BANIF.
                       --- DEAL INFO ---
   Azor Mortgages follows closely on the heels of the much larger Portuguese
rmbs Lusitano-3 from a week ago, which achieved the tightest print seen to date
on prime European RMBS (+13bps). Since then the pipeline has filled out
substantially, but not notably with RMBS, and demand is still very strong. Azor
comes 2bps inside Lusitano, an excellent result given the small size of the deal
and the localised nature of the collateral.
   The Azor portfolio consists of 5,832 mortgage loans with a current LTV of
75pc and seasoning of 3yrs originated by Banco Comercial dos Acores. BCA
controls around 30pc of the market in the Azores, making it the sector leader
and the second-largest earnings contributor of the BANIF Group. BANIF has
already issued rmbs via the Atlantes vehicle - Atlantes-1 came in Jan-03 and was
backed by Banif's own originations.
   Geographically, the portfolio of Azor is concentrated in the Azores Islands
(95pc). The Azores are an archipelago of nine islands in the mid-Atlantic
belonging to Portugal. Their situation makes them subject to earthquakes and, to
a lesser degree volcanic eruptions. They are designated as being in Zone A, the
highest area of earthquake risk within Portugal, but this status is shared with
Lisbon itself. Moreover, there is low unemployment on the islands which have a
growing population, and a diversified economy that benefits from hefty
government transfers. Nonetheless, the geographic concentration is about as high
as one could get in the sector, and credit enhancement required by the rating
agencies is high as a result (around 10pc).
   Price guidance for Azor came out at the end of last week at +17bps area for
the triple-A tranche, +low 40s for the single-A tranche and +85bps for the
triple-B tranche, but even at the final outturn the tranches were 4x, 6x and 10x
oversubscribed. Pricing came 2bps tighter for the class A, about 5bps for the
class B and a full 10bps inside price talk for the class C. Lusitano priced at +
13bps/+33bps/+65bps for it's triple-A/single-A/triple-B classes (all with
similar wals), though its portfolio had a slightly lower LTV at 73.7pc and
seasoning of 2yrs.
   Despite Azor being 75pc smaller in size and with heavy geographic
concentration, pricing was keen and demand clearly very strong. Distribution was
to 40 investors covering most of Europe including the UK.
18NOV2004          --- FTPYME TDA CAM 2 FTdA --- (priced 17-Nov)
CLASS 1SA: E553.2M, FRN, AAA/Aaa (F/M), EAL 2.0YRS, EFM JAN-10, 3ME+11BPS
CLASS 1CA: E143.5M, FRN, AAA/Aaa, EAL 6.7YRS, G'TEED SPAIN,     3ME FLAT
CLASS 2SA: E41.6M,  FRN, A/A2,    EAL 5.0YRS,                   3ME+33BPS
CLASS 3SA: E11.7M,  FRN, BBB/Baa2, EAL 5.0YRS,                  3ME+70BPS
COMMON TERMS: EFM APR-12 (EXCEPT 1SA), IP 100, PAY 23-NOV. LEADS BNPP, MS.
                            --- VIEWPOINT ---
   We are about half way through this year's FTPYME program, yesterday's deal
for Caja de Ahorros del Mediterraneo (CAM) bringing the total amount of Spanish
government guarantees to E875m out of the E1.8bn available. Mandates already
awarded (and due by the end of the year) total E390m in 'con aval' tranches for
Ruralpyme, Sabadell and BBVA, and the jumbo E2.1bn Banco Popolare deal has been
filed with the regulator but awaits full structure and mandate.
   TDA CAM 2 has one of the best of the loan pools seen, with little obligor
concentration (top 10 total 3.3pc) and 70pc of the loans secured (with a current
LTV of 47pc). Equivalent sized deals for Bancaja (13-Oct) and Pastor (28-Oct)
were less granular (top 10 obligors 7.2pc and 13.75pc respectively) and had
higher LTVs on their secured portions (60pc and 56pc).
   Pricing is a lot nearer to market levels than some of the deals seen of late.
FPYME Santander's publicised issuance levels for example were clearly off-
market, as have been some of the junior notes on other deals. However, in
comparison with the Bancaja deal (which looks to have kept to somewhere near
real market terms), TDA CAM 2 comes a little inside at the AAA mark - Bancaja
had 1.4yr and 2.2yr tranches which priced at +9bps and +14bps - and 7bps inside
at the BBB level. The last month has seen spectacular demand for the mezzanine
and junior pieces of just about every asset class, so the latter outturn is not
surprising.
   The AAA unguaranteed notes of TDA CAM 2 tightened in by about a basis point
on the break, bringing them into line with the secondary trading levels of
Pastor (9.5bps) and Bancaja (9.75bps). The leads report oversubscription levels
of 1.6x/3x/3.5x/3x for the notes, with the 1SA notes sold to 30 accounts in 10
jurisdictions. Prominent in the tranche were France, Spain, the Netherlands, the
UK and Germany. The guaranteed notes saw demand primarily from Spain and
Germany, with the sub notes well distributed amongst banks and asset managers,
though with little interest seen from CDO of ABS managers at these tighter
spreads.
                                

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